1. Q2 Earnings: A Story of Contrasting Performance

SEMCO reported KRW 2.78 trillion in revenue for Q2 2025, surpassing expectations by 3%. Operating profit also beat estimates by 4%, reaching KRW 213 billion. The continued strength of the optical solutions division is attributed to this positive growth. However, net profit came in at KRW 129.7 billion, a significant 26% drop below expectations.

2. Unraveling the Net Profit Decline

The precise reason for the decline in net profit remains unclear based on the preliminary earnings release. Further analysis is needed to determine whether this is due to non-operating losses or one-time expenses. Possibilities include impairment losses, increased tax expenses, or investment losses. Detailed information will be available in the upcoming full earnings report.

3. Fundamental and External Factors

  • Dependence on Samsung Electronics: SEMCO’s high reliance on Samsung Electronics continues to be a risk factor that could increase earnings volatility.
  • Raw Material Prices: The fluctuating crude oil prices and Baltic Clean Tanker Index suggest continued upward pressure on raw material costs.
  • Fluctuating Exchange Rates: The weakening KRW against the USD poses a challenge for export-oriented companies like SEMCO.
  • China Economic Slowdown: The decline in the China Containerized Freight Index indicates a potential negative impact on SEMCO’s sales in the Chinese market.

4. Investor Action Plan

Investors should carefully analyze the upcoming detailed earnings report, focusing on the reasons for the net profit decline, changes in fundamental indicators, and the impact of external factors. Pay close attention to the package solution division’s capacity utilization rate and raw material price trends, as these are expected to significantly influence future stock performance.