1. What Happened?: Shintanjin Plant Shutdown Analysis

All operations at Hansol Paper’s Shintanjin plant have come to a sudden halt. The exact cause is yet to be revealed, but the massive estimated loss of KRW 348.1 billion, representing 15.7% of the company’s total sales, underscores the severity of the situation.

2. Why Did This Happen?: Background and Fundamental Analysis

Despite posting solid results in Q1 2025, Hansol Paper faced risk factors such as fluctuations in raw material prices and exchange rates, and intensified competition. The success of new businesses like nanocellulose and eco-friendly packaging is key to securing future growth. While the ‘A’ credit rating is positive, the financial impact of this incident appears inevitable.

3. What’s Next?: Short-term/Long-term Impact Analysis

  • Short-term Impact: A sharp drop in stock price, deterioration of earnings, and negative investor sentiment are expected. Depending on the cause of the shutdown, there is also a possibility of contract issues with clients.
  • Long-term Impact: This will depend on the duration and cause of the shutdown. A simple accident could lead to a swift recovery, while a serious accident or facility aging could result in a prolonged downturn. Issues with raw material supply could lead to increased costs and a decline in market share.

4. Investor Action Plan: Risk Management and Response Strategies

Investors should closely monitor the cause of the shutdown, the recovery plan, the company’s financial status, and its response strategies. It is crucial to continuously monitor information disclosure and fluctuations in key raw material prices, and to review investment strategies accordingly.